The 2025 General Election will be a three-way race between the incumbent Lawrence Scott [PLP], Tarik Smith [OBA], and Lauren Francis [Independent].
Since the one seat system started in 2003, the PLP have won the seat in all 4 General Elections.
The Constituency Boundaries Report [PDF] states: “Constituency #24 Warwick South East shall be all that land contained within a line drawn from the junction of Rock Valley Road with the Railway Trail; thence North-East along the centreline of the Railway Trail to the junction with Cobbs Hill Road; thence South-East along the centreline of Cobbs Hill Road to the junction with South Road; thence North-East along the centreline of South Road to the junction with Honey Hill; thence South-East to a point on the coastline; thence continuing South-West along the coastline to a point on the coastline South-East of the junction of South Road with Marley Beach Lane; thence North-West to the junction of South Road with Marley Beach Lane; thence North-West along the property boundaries dividing the Southlands property and the properties of Rockland Crescent; thence continuing North-West along the property boundaries of the properties of Rock Valley Road to the junction of Rock Valley Road and the Railway Trail.”